Re: History-less observer moments

From: Jacques Mallah <>
Date: Fri, 19 May 2000 14:58:55 -0700 (PDT)

--- Russell Standish <> wrote:
> Sorry, but I'm not sampling my own age
> independently. The probability that I see myself as
> age 36 years, given that I'm 36 years old is
> 1. It is zero for any other age. The probability
> that I see JM at age 36, given that I am 36 years
> old is a value given by the distribution of observer
> moments that you talk about. That is independent
> sampling.

    The effective probability that you see JM (that's
me I assume) at age 28 (which I currently am), given
that you are seeing JM at 28, is one. The effective
probability that you find yourself in the Northern
Hemisphere, given that you are in the Northern
Hemisphere, is also one. It's no different from the
example where you look at the age of RS!

> Your use of Bayesian enquiry is ridiculous, because
> you cannot sample your own age independently.

    Do you know your exact current age from some
non-empirical equation? Of course not, so you already
are using Bayesian inquiry.

- - - - - - -
               Jacques Mallah (
         Physicist / Many Worlder / Devil's Advocate
"I know what no one else knows" - 'Runaway Train', Soul Asylum
         My URL:

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Received on Fri May 19 2000 - 15:07:05 PDT

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