Re: Probability

From: Tom Caylor <daddycaylor.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Fri, 7 Nov 2008 09:16:58 -0800 (PST)

Anna's explanation was from the frequentist side.
Gunther's was from the Bayesian side.

On Nov 7, 10:13 am, Tom Caylor <daddycay....domain.name.hidden> wrote:
> Thomas,
>
> "epistemic state of an agent", or in the proverbial 10-year-old's
> words, knowledge of the state of affairs from a certain point of
> view.  This is the Bayesian interpretation of probability.
> "EVERYTHING happens" can be interpreted as an expression in terms of
> the frequentist interpretation of probability.  As I see it (of
> course), "EVERYTHING happens" is the "epistemic state of", or
> "knowledge from the point of view of", the Plenitude, or Plotinus'
> One.  But this begs the question "What is EVERYTHING?"
>
> Tom
>
> On Nov 7, 9:43 am, Günther Greindl <guenther.grei....domain.name.hidden> wrote:
>
>
>
> > Thomas,
>
> > > MW must be some how different from the same concept in everyday
> > > language? In the latter "probably" just means "likely to happen" but
> > > if EVERYTHING happens then how can the concept make sense? I guess it
> > > must be two different concepts, then?
>
> > I wouldn't say so. Always look at the word "probably" as referring to
> > uncertainty in the _epistemic state of an agent_; and not as uncertainty
> > what will happen in the world. Then you see that it is the same concept
> > in both cases.
>
> > Cheers,
> > Günther- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -
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Received on Fri Nov 07 2008 - 12:17:05 PST

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