Re: Probability

From: Tom Caylor <>
Date: Fri, 7 Nov 2008 09:13:18 -0800 (PST)


"epistemic state of an agent", or in the proverbial 10-year-old's
words, knowledge of the state of affairs from a certain point of
view. This is the Bayesian interpretation of probability.
"EVERYTHING happens" can be interpreted as an expression in terms of
the frequentist interpretation of probability. As I see it (of
course), "EVERYTHING happens" is the "epistemic state of", or
"knowledge from the point of view of", the Plenitude, or Plotinus'
One. But this begs the question "What is EVERYTHING?"


On Nov 7, 9:43†am, GŁnther Greindl <> wrote:
> Thomas,
> > MW must be some how different from the same concept in everyday
> > language? In the latter "probably" just means "likely to happen" but
> > if EVERYTHING happens then how can the concept make sense? I guess it
> > must be two different concepts, then?
> I wouldn't say so. Always look at the word "probably" as referring to
> uncertainty in the _epistemic state of an agent_; and not as uncertainty
> what will happen in the world. Then you see that it is the same concept
> in both cases.
> Cheers,
> GŁnther
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Received on Fri Nov 07 2008 - 12:13:29 PST

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