Re: observation selection effects

From: Kory Heath <kory.heath.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Sun, 10 Oct 2004 20:32:26 -0400

At 07:17 PM 10/10/2004, Kory Heath wrote:
>We can also consider the variant in which the Winning Flip is determined
>after people decide whether or not to switch.

In a follow-up to my own post, I should point out that your winning chances
in this game depend on how your opponents are playing. If all of your
opponents are playing randomly, then you have a negative expectation no
matter what you do. If your opponents are not playing randomly, then you
may be able to exploit patterns in their play to generate a positive
expectation.

-- Kory
Received on Sun Oct 10 2004 - 20:32:49 PDT