Re: Optimal Prediction

From: Bill Jefferys <bill.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Fri, 29 Mar 2002 13:16:49 -0500

At 9:20 AM -0800 3/29/02, Hal Finney wrote:

>That's true, but even so, a coin with a .95 chance of coming up heads
>and a .05 chance of coming up tails is "simpler" by your definition
>than a fair coin, right? Even though the parameter is not adjustable,
>the presence of an ad hoc value like .95 makes it seem intuitively less
>simple than a fair coin, at least to me.

Suppose it's a computer program that produces 95% 1's and 5% 0's...In
that case I don't see this.

Bill
Received on Fri Mar 29 2002 - 12:23:41 PST