Re: Does provability matter?

From: Juergen Schmidhuber <juergen.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Wed, 19 Dec 2001 09:57:25 +0100

Wei Dai wrote:
> I don't understand how you can believe that the probability of more
> dominant priors is zero. That implies if I offered you a bet of $1
> versus your entire net worth that large scale quantum computation will
> in fact work, you'd take that bet. Would you really?

Your dollar against my 2 cents worth? I don't want to rip you off!

Ok, let me adopt a more careful Bayesian's fallback position: I just
assume certain things, then derive consequences, given the assumptions,
without precisely quantifying the plausibility of the assumptions
themselves, letting the reader decide whether they are plausible or not.

Juergen
Received on Wed Dec 19 2001 - 00:59:55 PST