RE: Conventional QTI = False

From: Marchal <marchal.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Sat Sep 15 08:41:45 2001

Charles wrote:

>(BTW, would I be right in thinking that, applying the SSA to a person who
>"finds himself" to be 1 year old, the chances that he'll
>live to be 80 is 1/80?)

This argument (against Leslie Bayesian Doomsday argument) has been
developped by Jean Paul Delahaye in the journal "Pour la Science"
(french version of the "Scientific American").
I have not the precise reference under the hand. I think it is
a good point against too quick use of Bayes in infinite or continuous
context.

Bruno
Received on Sat Sep 15 2001 - 08:41:45 PDT