RE: FIN Again (was: Re: James Higgo)

From: Charles Goodwin <cgoodwin.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Wed, 12 Sep 2001 10:01:46 +1200

> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Jacques Mallah [mailto:jackmallah.domain.name.hidden]
> >
> > I've explained that in other posts, but as you see, the idea is indeed
> > mathematically incoherent - unless you just mean the conditional effective
> > probability which a measure distribution defines by definition. And _that_
> > one, of course, leads to a finite expectation value for ones's observed age
> > (that is, no immortality).

I've just realised that according to the Bayesian argument, the chances of someone with an infinite world-line being ANY specific
age are infinitesimal. (It also makes the chances of me being the age I am pretty infinitesimal too, come to think of it). That
would seem to indicate that the Bayesian argument *assumes* that infinite world-lines (and possibly infinite anythings) are
impossible. Sorry I took so long to spot that objection to the SSA argument, which I will call (4).

Charles
Received on Tue Sep 11 2001 - 14:59:01 PDT