Re: another anthropic reasoning

From: Wei Dai <weidai.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Tue, 20 Mar 2001 22:49:30 -0800

On Tue, Mar 20, 2001 at 08:10:10PM -0700, Brent Meeker wrote:
> I don't see any paradox. This is no different than:
>
> If you push button 1, you will lose $9.
> If you push button 2 you will win $10 one time out of 101 at random.
> The other 100 times out of 101 you will lose $10.
>
> If you push 1 your expected payoff is -$9.
> If you push 2 your expected payoff is ($10*1 - $10*100)/101=-$9/1.01

Something is wrong with your math here. ($10*1 - $10*100)/101 =
-$9.9/1.01, not -$9/1.01.

> So you push 2. Where's the paradox?
>
> Brent Meeker
Received on Tue Mar 20 2001 - 23:14:29 PST