--- Higgo James <james.higgo.domain.name.hidden> wrote:
> What you have written is in perfect agreement with
> what I have been trying to say.
    James, I guess this ends our alliance :(   
 
> > From:	Fritz Griffith
> > Basically, I realized that if we accept that 
> > everything exists already, then why the hell do we
> > need to bring up probability?
    To get retrodictions.
> > probability (1st person), but rather that we 
> > experience everything (3rd person only), 
    I never understood the 1st/3rd person crap, so I
don't know what you mean.  But I know this: effective
probabilities are important, and they have absolutely
nothing to do with the crap known as "1st person
probabilities".
> > is that we experience each and every universe,
> > guaranteed, but each one feels like it is the only
> > one.  So we'll see things make sense (100% 
> > guaranteed), and we'll see things not make sense
> > (100% guaranteed), and each  of these experiences
> > will include the lack of knowledge of the other.
    You seem to be saying, in effect, that there is
only one person that has all experiences.  It sounds
like a useless definition.
> > In short, every thought exists, so why should I be
> > surprised to be having this thought? (as you would
> > say it).
    You should only be surprised if your thought has
characteristics that have an unusually low effective
probability.
    (Examples: you think of a long bit string, x,
which you obtained randomly.  It looks random, so
while x has a low probability, you're not surprised.
    If, however, you see the first 100 digits of pi
and you know you obtained them randomly, it's time to
be surprised - and suspicious of your random number
generator.  This is a white rabbit.)
=====
- - - - - - -
               Jacques Mallah (jackmallah.domain.name.hidden)
         Physicist  /  Many Worlder  /  Devil's Advocate
"I know what no one else knows" - 'Runaway Train', Soul Asylum
         My URL: 
http://hammer.prohosting.com/~mathmind/
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Received on Wed May 10 2000 - 18:45:44 PDT