On Thu, 9 Mar 2000, Higgo James wrote:
> Gentlemen, I have a white rabbit (WR), and it is available for your
> inspection right here in Cambridge, in this very universe. This disproves
> your theory.
I think there are other possible explanations that must be
considered. First, there's the possibility of fraud: how do we know
you're telling the truth? Second, your color perception could be
poor; maybe it's just a gray hare. Third, you could be hallucinating; lay
off the mushrooms. Fourth, a coincidence of cosmic rays could have
altered your memory storage, making you *think* it's a rabbit when it's
only a mouse. Finally, it could be a prank by alien kids who beamed down
and painted a brown rabbit.
With so many competing possibilities, we must turn to theory to
make an educated guess: WR or not? A priori, the Bayesian probability of
a WR was very small; it remains so.
- - - - - - -
Jacques Mallah (jqm1584.domain.name.hidden)
Physicist / Many Worlder / Devil's Advocate
"I know what no one else knows" - 'Runaway Train', Soul Asylum
My URL:
http://pages.nyu.edu/~jqm1584/
Received on Thu Mar 09 2000 - 10:48:57 PST