Re: Several Criticisms of the Doomsday Argument

From: Günther Greindl <guenther.greindl.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Tue, 27 Nov 2007 13:23:46 +0100

HI,


> If all of the balls had been numbered unambiguously from 1 through
> 1,000,010, the statistical effect produced by Bostrom's ambiguous ball
> 7 would vanish.

Agreed. Also consider another version: do not name the balls in the
first urn 1 to 10, but with uniform random numbers of the interval
[1,1000000].

Then, if you would draw the ball "517012" you would not know from which
urn it was either.

It is definitely a "labeling" artefact.

Regards,
Günther

-- 
Günther Greindl
Department of Philosophy of Science
University of Vienna
guenther.greindl.domain.name.hidden
http://www.univie.ac.at/Wissenschaftstheorie/
Blog: http://dao.complexitystudies.org/
Site: http://www.complexitystudies.org
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Received on Tue Nov 27 2007 - 07:26:50 PST