Re: against UD+ASSA, part 1

From: Russell Standish <lists.domain.name.hidden>
Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 21:28:22 +1000

On Sun, Sep 30, 2007 at 10:49:27AM +0200, Günther Greindl wrote:
>
> Hello all,
>
> I have always found these doomsday arguments rather strange (and the
> mathematics, nice as the equations may be, resting on false premises).
>
> Assuming that OM are distributed unevenly, at the moment you are
> _living_ an OM you can make absolutely no conclusion about where in the
> distribution you are - it looks somewhat like "after the fact" reasoning
> to me.
>
> But now let us move to Observer Moments (OM):
>
> You observe:
> "I exist here and now. I know nothing about the OM Distribution, I can
> only speculate."

In most anthropic arguments, you do know something about the
distribution. Otherwise, as you say, you can only speculate. For
instance in the original Doomsday argument you know the distribution
of birth moments in the past (a relatively slow population increase,
followed by a far more rapid increase in the last two centuries),
therefore you can infer something about the temporal distribution in
the future using the SSA.


-- 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
A/Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
Mathematics                         	 
UNSW SYDNEY 2052         	         hpcoder.domain.name.hidden
Australia                                http://www.hpcoders.com.au
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
--~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group.
To post to this group, send email to everything-list.domain.name.hidden
To unsubscribe from this group, send email to everything-list-unsubscribe.domain.name.hidden
For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list?hl=en
-~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
Received on Sun Sep 30 2007 - 07:28:36 PDT

This archive was generated by hypermail 2.3.0 : Fri Feb 16 2018 - 13:20:14 PST